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CBJ
0-1
NYI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG0.79
NYI xG0.64
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%28.3
NYI Win%71.7
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve42.4%
NYI Deserve57.6%
NYI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.6%Possession52.4%
26Shots on Goal22
40.0%Faceoff Win %60.0%
24Hits24
18Blocked Shots17
1Takeaways5
15Giveaways16
6Penalty Minutes0


















