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VGK
3-2
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG1.13
DAL xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%93.7
DAL Win%6.3
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve56.7%
DAL Deserve43.3%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.6%Possession46.4%
33Shots on Goal15
57.9%Faceoff Win %42.1%
26Hits24
26Blocked Shots13
3Takeaways5
14Giveaways11
6Penalty Minutes8



















