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TBL
3-4
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.05
CGY xG0.60
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%0.0
CGY Win%100.0
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve53.7%
CGY Deserve46.3%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.6%Possession54.4%
35Shots on Goal29
46.4%Faceoff Win %53.6%
16Hits23
16Blocked Shots4
5Takeaways3
17Giveaways20
0Penalty Minutes2





















