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BUF
5-6
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG1.06
ANA xG1.19
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%0.0
ANA Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve47.9%
ANA Deserve52.1%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.7%Possession52.3%
29Shots on Goal33
60.3%Faceoff Win %39.7%
12Hits23
14Blocked Shots9
2Takeaways9
11Giveaways14
8Penalty Minutes6






















