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OTT
2-1
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG0.65
NYR xG0.63
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%96.4
NYR Win%3.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve51.1%
NYR Deserve48.9%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
62.1%Possession37.9%
33Shots on Goal10
38.1%Faceoff Win %61.9%
20Hits39
8Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways4
16Giveaways17
8Penalty Minutes16


















