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TOR
4-2
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.97
BOS xG0.80
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%99.6
BOS Win%0.4
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve54.7%
BOS Deserve45.3%
TOR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.4%Possession42.6%
35Shots on Goal20
34.8%Faceoff Win %65.2%
22Hits16
6Blocked Shots9
6Takeaways3
12Giveaways28
17Penalty Minutes16



















