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CAR
2-5
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.33
MTL xG0.66
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%0.4
MTL Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve47.0%
MTL Deserve53.0%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.6%Possession42.4%
43Shots on Goal19
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
19Hits22
24Blocked Shots13
5Takeaways4
16Giveaways12
8Penalty Minutes6






















