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CBJ
3-2
PHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG0.56
PHI xG1.04
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%96.4
PHI Win%3.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve52.2%
PHI Deserve47.8%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.6%Possession53.4%
19Shots on Goal26
48.0%Faceoff Win %52.0%
25Hits13
11Blocked Shots14
8Takeaways3
15Giveaways14
9Penalty Minutes11



















