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MIN
3-6
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MIN xG0.85
TBL xG1.19
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MIN Win%0.4
TBL Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MIN Deserve43.9%
TBL Deserve56.1%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.7%Possession51.3%
24Shots on Goal26
52.5%Faceoff Win %47.5%
20Hits20
12Blocked Shots20
7Takeaways2
17Giveaways10
20Penalty Minutes20























