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ANA
5-3
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
ANA xG0.90
VAN xG0.94
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
ANA Win%99.6
VAN Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
ANA Deserve51.7%
VAN Deserve48.3%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
34Shots on Goal30
40.0%Faceoff Win %60.0%
21Hits13
11Blocked Shots11
8Takeaways4
19Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes6




















