BOS
4-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow

Momentum Graph

BOS xG0.60
BUF xG0.91
BUF
Home
Away
BOS
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression

Chance To Win

Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%

BOS Win%100.0
BUF Win%0.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles

Deserve-To-Win

Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".

BOS Deserve48.3%
BUF Deserve51.7%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density

Shot Distribution

BOSBUF
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)

Team Dominance

BOS
BOS
Matchup
BUF
BUF
55.6%Possession44.4%
31Shots on Goal25
53.2%Faceoff Win %46.8%
28Hits21
14Blocked Shots20
3Takeaways4
15Giveaways11
10Penalty Minutes8

Live Feed

4P • 00:38Goal

P. Zacha

Assists: D. Pastrnak, C. McAvoy

wrist
3P • 14:00Goal

C. Mittelstadt

Assists: J. Aspirot, P. Zacha

wrist
3P • 05:54Goal

J. Zucker

Assists: T. Thompson

wrist
3P • 05:21Goal

Z. Benson

Unassisted

wrist
2P • 09:45Goal

V. Arvidsson

Assists: D. Pastrnak, N. Zadorov

backhand
1P • 15:18Goal

J. Zucker

Assists: T. Thompson, J. Quinn

snap
1P • 11:07Goal

D. Pastrnak

Assists: F. Minten, M. Khusnutdinov

snap
Player ProfileGAPTS+/-PIMSOGHITSBLKSTOI
C. MittelstadtC
101001114:28
P. ZachaC
112+201314:33
E. LindholmC
000023116:41
M. GeekieC
000001115:53
M. KastelicC
000002209:58
S. KuralyC
000003210:45
V. ArvidssonL
101+103313:32
L. ReichelL
000-102014:59
T. JeannotL
000001307:32
D. PastrnakR
123+303021:56
M. KhusnutdinovC
011+100018:00
F. MintenC
011+121120:14
M. LohreiD
000+120017:29
A. PeekeD
000+104217:15
H. LindholmD
000000020:10
J. AspirotD
011+102117:41
C. McAvoyD
011+121224:45
N. ZadorovD
011+203619:58