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BOS
4-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG0.60
BUF xG0.91
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%100.0
BUF Win%0.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve48.3%
BUF Deserve51.7%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.6%Possession44.4%
31Shots on Goal25
53.2%Faceoff Win %46.8%
28Hits21
14Blocked Shots20
3Takeaways4
15Giveaways11
10Penalty Minutes8



















