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NYR
3-4
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG1.31
TOR xG0.64
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%3.0
TOR Win%97.0
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve52.4%
TOR Deserve47.6%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
61.0%Possession39.0%
43Shots on Goal18
55.6%Faceoff Win %44.4%
25Hits25
19Blocked Shots13
3Takeaways5
15Giveaways13
4Penalty Minutes8





















