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CBJ
1-2
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG1.13
MTL xG0.56
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%5.8
MTL Win%94.2
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve47.1%
MTL Deserve52.9%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.4%Possession47.6%
26Shots on Goal20
48.9%Faceoff Win %51.1%
27Hits24
18Blocked Shots10
5Takeaways3
17Giveaways8
6Penalty Minutes4



















