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MIN
3-2
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MIN xG1.38
FLA xG0.79
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MIN Win%98.7
FLA Win%1.3
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MIN Deserve49.7%
FLA Deserve50.3%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
67.4%Possession32.6%
50Shots on Goal20
51.5%Faceoff Win %48.5%
15Hits21
10Blocked Shots22
4Takeaways5
13Giveaways13
2Penalty Minutes2



















