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DET
5-2
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG0.66
BUF xG1.43
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%99.6
BUF Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve52.1%
BUF Deserve47.9%
DET Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.8%Possession55.2%
20Shots on Goal30
55.8%Faceoff Win %44.2%
11Hits27
7Blocked Shots17
6Takeaways6
18Giveaways18
8Penalty Minutes14



















