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NJD
2-5
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NJD xG0.60
CAR xG1.12
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NJD Win%0.4
CAR Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NJD Deserve47.1%
CAR Deserve52.9%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
42.1%Possession57.9%
19Shots on Goal34
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
26Hits12
12Blocked Shots18
4Takeaways7
17Giveaways23
2Penalty Minutes6






















