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TOR
1-5
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.73
STL xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
STL Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve37.1%
STL Deserve62.9%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
42.1%Possession57.9%
13Shots on Goal38
45.8%Faceoff Win %54.2%
23Hits13
8Blocked Shots13
6Takeaways3
25Giveaways9
4Penalty Minutes6






















