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MTL
4-1
NSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.81
NSH xG0.67
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%99.6
NSH Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve52.9%
NSH Deserve47.1%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
58.6%Possession41.4%
32Shots on Goal24
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
20Hits25
9Blocked Shots17
5Takeaways3
20Giveaways18
8Penalty Minutes16


















