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WPG
4-2
COL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
WPG xG0.73
COL xG0.85
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
WPG Win%99.6
COL Win%0.4
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
WPG Deserve53.2%
COL Deserve46.8%
WPG Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.9%Possession48.1%
21Shots on Goal23
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
32Hits21
16Blocked Shots22
7Takeaways5
13Giveaways14
8Penalty Minutes8



















