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VAN
3-7
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VAN xG1.08
CGY xG0.84
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VAN Win%0.4
CGY Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VAN Deserve47.9%
CGY Deserve52.1%
CGY Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.2%Possession40.8%
34Shots on Goal23
45.9%Faceoff Win %54.1%
32Hits18
12Blocked Shots12
8Takeaways5
19Giveaways21
11Penalty Minutes13
























