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FLA
1-3
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG1.16
NYR xG0.56
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.4
NYR Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve52.4%
NYR Deserve47.6%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
27Shots on Goal22
38.5%Faceoff Win %61.5%
15Hits24
24Blocked Shots12
4Takeaways6
9Giveaways16
7Penalty Minutes11




















