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NSH
2-3
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NSH xG0.97
TBL xG1.01
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NSH Win%13.2
TBL Win%86.8
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NSH Deserve48.0%
TBL Deserve52.0%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.5%Possession52.5%
31Shots on Goal28
53.8%Faceoff Win %46.2%
19Hits18
14Blocked Shots13
3Takeaways6
15Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes18




















