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MTL
3-1
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.96
CAR xG1.36
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%99.6
CAR Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve47.6%
CAR Deserve52.4%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.7%Possession56.3%
18Shots on Goal35
45.8%Faceoff Win %54.2%
21Hits29
13Blocked Shots33
4Takeaways4
14Giveaways13
6Penalty Minutes8


















