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PIT
8-3
NYI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG1.37
NYI xG0.59
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%99.6
NYI Win%0.4
7 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve54.5%
NYI Deserve45.5%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
58.1%Possession41.9%
32Shots on Goal23
31.7%Faceoff Win %68.3%
16Hits16
14Blocked Shots18
6Takeaways5
16Giveaways15
11Penalty Minutes9




















