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VAN
2-4
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VAN xG0.59
VGK xG1.09
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VAN Win%0.4
VGK Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VAN Deserve41.3%
VGK Deserve58.7%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.0%Possession52.0%
24Shots on Goal34
51.6%Faceoff Win %48.4%
25Hits33
5Blocked Shots20
2Takeaways4
6Giveaways10
11Penalty Minutes9





















