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STL
4-5
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.70
SJS xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%1.5
SJS Win%98.5
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve46.9%
SJS Deserve53.1%
SJS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.1%Possession51.9%
26Shots on Goal29
53.7%Faceoff Win %46.3%
15Hits18
17Blocked Shots17
1Takeaways3
11Giveaways12
8Penalty Minutes6




















