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OTT
3-6
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG0.83
FLA xG1.28
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%0.4
FLA Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve48.5%
FLA Deserve51.5%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.1%Possession55.9%
26Shots on Goal29
54.8%Faceoff Win %45.2%
17Hits18
14Blocked Shots7
4Takeaways1
16Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes23






















