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NJD
1-4
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NJD xG0.89
NYR xG1.15
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NJD Win%0.4
NYR Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NJD Deserve44.7%
NYR Deserve55.3%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.2%Possession52.8%
23Shots on Goal23
51.9%Faceoff Win %48.1%
19Hits33
19Blocked Shots12
6Takeaways4
21Giveaways15
13Penalty Minutes13





















