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DET
1-5
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG0.90
PIT xG1.38
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%0.4
PIT Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve41.9%
PIT Deserve58.1%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.7%Possession55.3%
23Shots on Goal32
52.5%Faceoff Win %47.5%
32Hits18
15Blocked Shots13
5Takeaways6
17Giveaways14
13Penalty Minutes9






















