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CAR
5-2
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.06
CBJ xG0.85
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
CBJ Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve58.2%
CBJ Deserve41.8%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.3%Possession43.7%
33Shots on Goal25
60.7%Faceoff Win %39.3%
18Hits23
16Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways4
16Giveaways13
6Penalty Minutes10
Live Feed
3P • 19:13Goal
J. Martinook
Unassisted
wrist
3P • 13:55Goal
A. Svechnikov
Assists: N. Ehlers, S. Aho
slap
3P • 12:42Goal
N. Ehlers
Assists: J. Chatfield, J. Slavin
wrist
3P • 02:07Goal
A. Fantilli
Assists: M. Marchment, K. Marchenko
snap
2P • 15:14Goal
K. Marchenko
Assists: Z. Werenski, M. Marchment
wrist
1P • 16:12Goal
L. Stankoven
Assists: M. Jankowski
snap
1P • 13:29Goal
S. Gostisbehere
Assists: N. Ehlers, A. Svechnikov
slap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. StaalC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16:41 | |
 S. AhoC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19:29 | |
L. StankovenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15:54 | |
 S. JarvisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19:00 | |
N. EhlersL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18:23 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 09:38 | |
A. SvechnikovR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16:29 | |
J. MartinookL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15:27 | |
 E. RobinsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 09:01 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16:25 | |
 T. HallL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11:27 | |
S. GostisbehereD | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:39 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:42 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18:41 | |
 A. NikishinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:56 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17:52 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20:47 |