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ANA
3-4
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
ANA xG0.85
SJS xG0.80
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
ANA Win%1.7
SJS Win%98.3
7 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
ANA Deserve48.2%
SJS Deserve51.8%
SJS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.2%Possession40.8%
31Shots on Goal21
41.4%Faceoff Win %58.6%
20Hits25
10Blocked Shots15
5Takeaways9
9Giveaways16
11Penalty Minutes13




















