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BUF
1-4
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.54
OTT xG0.84
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%0.4
OTT Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve41.6%
OTT Deserve58.4%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.0%Possession48.0%
22Shots on Goal24
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
24Hits32
10Blocked Shots16
4Takeaways3
14Giveaways13
19Penalty Minutes9





















