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MTL
3-2
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.65
NYR xG0.98
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%90.4
NYR Win%9.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve51.1%
NYR Deserve48.9%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.5%Possession49.5%
25Shots on Goal24
57.7%Faceoff Win %42.3%
22Hits27
7Blocked Shots13
3Takeaways5
15Giveaways18
6Penalty Minutes4



















