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CBJ
1-5
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG0.59
CAR xG1.05
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%0.4
CAR Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve46.1%
CAR Deserve53.9%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
40.8%Possession59.2%
10Shots on Goal21
39.5%Faceoff Win %60.5%
18Hits19
21Blocked Shots15
8Takeaways5
17Giveaways19
6Penalty Minutes8





















