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TOR
1-4
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.96
SJS xG0.70
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
SJS Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve47.2%
SJS Deserve52.8%
SJS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.2%Possession51.8%
20Shots on Goal25
46.7%Faceoff Win %53.3%
21Hits17
17Blocked Shots16
7Takeaways4
14Giveaways19
4Penalty Minutes2





















