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STL
6-2
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG1.13
ANA xG0.79
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%99.6
ANA Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve56.0%
ANA Deserve44.0%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.1%Possession50.9%
29Shots on Goal27
51.6%Faceoff Win %48.4%
19Hits25
10Blocked Shots14
6Takeaways4
16Giveaways16
8Penalty Minutes10



















