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DET
1-4
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG1.26
NYR xG0.97
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%0.4
NYR Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve47.0%
NYR Deserve53.0%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.8%Possession40.2%
33Shots on Goal20
39.3%Faceoff Win %60.7%
14Hits23
18Blocked Shots16
4Takeaways4
10Giveaways12
9Penalty Minutes13



















