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BOS
1-3
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG0.86
TBL xG0.53
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%0.4
TBL Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve51.2%
TBL Deserve48.8%
BOS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.6%Possession43.4%
22Shots on Goal23
69.0%Faceoff Win %31.0%
11Hits20
13Blocked Shots14
4Takeaways3
15Giveaways12
2Penalty Minutes8




















