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FLA
4-9
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG0.53
PIT xG1.32
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.4
PIT Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve36.9%
PIT Deserve63.1%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.2%Possession53.8%
23Shots on Goal31
46.2%Faceoff Win %53.8%
18Hits10
12Blocked Shots19
0Takeaways6
21Giveaways19
11Penalty Minutes5
























