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MTL
4-3
NJD
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG1.04
NJD xG1.21
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%100.0
NJD Win%0.0
9 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve55.6%
NJD Deserve44.4%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.5%Possession51.5%
34Shots on Goal42
42.4%Faceoff Win %57.6%
16Hits17
13Blocked Shots9
6Takeaways1
12Giveaways13
2Penalty Minutes10





















