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BUF
2-6
WSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.91
WSH xG1.01
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%0.4
WSH Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve46.6%
WSH Deserve53.4%
WSH Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
39Shots on Goal28
51.6%Faceoff Win %48.4%
17Hits14
13Blocked Shots10
3Takeaways9
17Giveaways18
14Penalty Minutes20
Live Feed
3P • 08:55Goal
T. Wilson
Assists: C. McMichael
backhand
3P • 06:26Goal
R. Leonard
Assists: C. Hutson, J. Sourdif
snap
2P • 06:06Goal
A. Protas
Unassisted
snap
1P • 12:15Goal
B. Malenstyn
Assists: J. Greenway, R. Dahlin
snap
1P • 06:30Goal
R. Dahlin
Assists: J. Norris, A. Tuch
snap
1P • 05:52Goal
C. McMichael
Assists: J. Chychrun, P. Dubois
snap
1P • 03:35Goal
D. Strome
Assists: A. Protas, A. Ovechkin
tip-in
1P • 03:15Goal
J. Chychrun
Assists: A. Ovechkin, P. Dubois
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Z. BensonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 15:20 | |
 J. NorrisC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15:48 | |
 J. GreenwayL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13:32 | |
 J. ZuckerL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18:20 | |
 P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12:05 | |
 J. QuinnR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 18:27 | |
B. MalenstynL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12:27 | |
 T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:15 | |
 R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 | |
 T. ThompsonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 19:20 | |
 A. TuchR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 16:20 | |
 J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12:57 | |
 B. ByramD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:59 | |
 M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:54 | |
 O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:22 | |
R. DahlinD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22:28 | |
 L. StanleyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13:18 | |
 Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 |