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WPG
2-1
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
WPG xG1.08
CBJ xG0.80
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
WPG Win%97.3
CBJ Win%2.7
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
WPG Deserve51.1%
CBJ Deserve48.9%
WPG Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.2%Possession51.8%
26Shots on Goal16
27.3%Faceoff Win %72.7%
28Hits16
21Blocked Shots14
3Takeaways3
17Giveaways11
2Penalty Minutes2


















