Back

CGY
5-3
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG1.18
ANA xG1.17
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%99.6
ANA Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve48.8%
ANA Deserve51.2%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
40.0%Possession60.0%
20Shots on Goal39
55.6%Faceoff Win %44.4%
27Hits21
14Blocked Shots17
3Takeaways6
20Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes2




















