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FLA
2-5
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG1.15
PIT xG0.68
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.4
PIT Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve49.6%
PIT Deserve50.4%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.2%Possession44.8%
31Shots on Goal23
58.0%Faceoff Win %42.0%
28Hits7
17Blocked Shots9
4Takeaways4
16Giveaways13
23Penalty Minutes21





















