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CAR
3-6
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.01
OTT xG1.24
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%0.4
OTT Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve47.2%
OTT Deserve52.8%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
42.1%Possession57.9%
28Shots on Goal31
39.1%Faceoff Win %60.9%
30Hits28
25Blocked Shots12
3Takeaways5
16Giveaways19
4Penalty Minutes4
Live Feed
3P • 19:03Goal
C. Giroux
Assists: S. Pinto, J. Sanderson
wrist
3P • 17:30Goal
T. Hall
Assists: S. Walker, J. Blake
backhand
3P • 06:32Goal
B. Tkachuk
Assists: R. Greig, D. Cozens
wrist
3P • 02:50Goal
S. Pinto
Assists: F. Zetterlund
wrist
2P • 08:33Goal
B. Tkachuk
Assists: A. Zub, R. Greig
tip-in
1P • 19:40Goal
A. Svechnikov
Unassisted
poke
1P • 08:51Goal
T. Stützle
Unassisted
backhand
1P • 07:17Goal
D. Cozens
Assists: T. Stützle, D. Batherson
backhand
1P • 05:22Goal
L. Stankoven
Assists: N. Ehlers, J. Blake
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S. AhoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:27 | |
L. StankovenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14:44 | |
 S. JarvisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:57 | |
 N. EhlersL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:53 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:07 | |
A. SvechnikovR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | |
 N. DeslauriersL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13:46 | |
 E. RobinsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14:44 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | |
T. HallL | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15:09 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:06 | |
 J. KotkaniemiC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:04 | |
 S. GostisbehereD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:37 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:33 | |
 A. NikishinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:31 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19:05 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:23 |