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NJD
3-0
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NJD xG0.85
MTL xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NJD Win%99.6
MTL Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NJD Deserve47.6%
MTL Deserve52.4%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.4%Possession47.6%
20Shots on Goal18
55.8%Faceoff Win %44.2%
20Hits27
12Blocked Shots20
7Takeaways3
19Giveaways13
45Penalty Minutes11

















