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STL
3-2
COL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG1.09
COL xG0.72
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%98.3
COL Win%1.7
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve52.8%
COL Deserve47.2%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.4%Possession49.6%
29Shots on Goal28
56.3%Faceoff Win %43.8%
14Hits13
10Blocked Shots12
4Takeaways4
17Giveaways15
6Penalty Minutes8



















