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TBL
2-4
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG0.77
BUF xG0.87
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%0.4
BUF Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve47.7%
BUF Deserve52.3%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.6%Possession51.4%
25Shots on Goal30
52.5%Faceoff Win %47.5%
28Hits22
11Blocked Shots10
5Takeaways4
18Giveaways13
12Penalty Minutes14





















