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FLA
3-4
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG1.19
MTL xG1.05
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.0
MTL Win%100.0
7 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve43.6%
MTL Deserve56.4%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.3%Possession45.7%
35Shots on Goal34
43.1%Faceoff Win %56.9%
29Hits26
11Blocked Shots22
7Takeaways5
13Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes4






















