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PHI
5-1
NJD
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.40
NJD xG0.99
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%99.6
NJD Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve49.4%
NJD Deserve50.6%
NJD Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.1%Possession54.9%
20Shots on Goal24
57.4%Faceoff Win %42.6%
15Hits17
3Blocked Shots17
1Takeaways7
20Giveaways18
6Penalty Minutes4


















